Friday, March 28, 2008

Signs of accelerating global warming: Antartic Shelf Hangs by thread



Antarctic shelf 'hangs by thread'
A chunk of ice the size of the Isle of Man has started to break away from Antarctica in what scientists say is further evidence of a warming climate.

Satellite images suggest that part of the ice shelf is disintegrating, and will soon crumble away.

The Wilkins Ice Shelf has been stable for most of the last century, but began retreating in the 1990s.

Six ice shelves in the same part of the continent have already been lost, says the British Antarctic Survey (BAS).

Professor David Vaughan of BAS said: "Wilkins is the largest ice shelf on the Antarctic Peninsula yet to be threatened.

"I didn't expect to see things happen this quickly. The ice shelf is hanging by a thread - we'll know in the next few days or weeks what its fate will be."

'Like an explosion'

BAS researchers were alerted to the break-up by daily monitoring of satellite images. They sent a Twin Otter aircraft on a reconnaissance mission to video what was happening.

This is yet another indication of climate change in the Antarctic Peninsula and how it is affecting the environment

Jim Elliott, who was on board the plane, said he had never seen anything like it before.

He said: "We flew along the main crack and observed the sheer scale of movement from the breakage.

"Big hefty chunks of ice, the size of small houses, look as though they've been thrown around like rubble - it's like an explosion."

A 41-by-2.5km (25-by-1.6 mile) berg appears to be breaking away, with much of the Wilkins Ice Shelf protected only by a thin strip of ice spanning two islands.

Since an ice shelf is a floating platform of ice, the break-up will have no impact on sea level. But scientists say it heightens concerns over the impact of climate change on this part of Antarctica.

'Unprecedented' warming

Professor Vaughan predicted in 1993 that the northern part of the Wilkins Ice Shelf would be lost within 30 years if climate warming continued. But he said it is happening more quickly than he expected.


He told BBC News: "What we're actually seeing is a chunk of the ice shelf drop off in a way that suggests it is not just a normal part of iceberg formation.

"This is not a sea level rise issue, but is yet another indication of climate change in the Antarctic Peninsula and how it is affecting the environment."

Scientists say the Antarctic Peninsula, which juts out into the Southern Ocean towards the tip of South America, has experienced unprecedented warming over the last 50 years.

Several ice shelves have retreated in the past 30 years - six of them collapsing completely.

Other researchers believe the Wilkins Ice Shelf may hang on a little longer, as Antarctica's summer melt season draws to a close.

Dr Ted Scambos of the National Snow and Ice Data Center at the University of Colorado said: "This unusual show is over for this season. But come January, we'll be watching to see if the Wilkins continues to fall apart."

January 15, 2008


March 15, 2008

Disintregration of Iceberg A53a

In April 2005, the A53a iceberg calved off the Larsen Ice Shelf on the Antarctic Peninsula and began drifting north. As it headed north, the iceberg encountered warmer temperatures and, nearly three years later, began to disintegrate. Observing such iceberg disintegration can help scientists studying Antarctica’s ice shelves better understand how those shelves change in response to warmer temperatures.

This pair of images was acquired by the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) sensors on NASA’s Aqua (top) and Terra (bottom) satellites. The top image was captured on January 15, 2008; the bottom image was captured on March 15, 2008. High-resolution images show this event in more detail, on January 15, February 21, March 1, March 3, and March 15.

In the January 15 image, the iceberg remains intact, although isolated pale blue melt ponds appear on the surface. These melt ponds are more conspicuous in an astronaut photograph, providing a foreshortened view of the iceberg, also taken on January 15. Melt ponds on the surface of the iceberg suggest that the iceberg may be approaching disintegration. Melt ponds contribute to disintegration because water can fill preexisting cracks on the iceberg’s surface and eventually carve all the way through the ice.

The March 15 image shows the iceberg after it broke in two near South Georgia Island in the Southern Atlantic. This image covers a wider area than the top scene since the iceberg pieces have drifted apart. The iceberg in the east is in the process of further fragmentation, and both icebergs have shed giant slivers of ice. MODIS captured the iceberg beginning to disintegrate on March 3, appearing in two pieces that remained close together.

When an iceberg drifts northward and encounters warmer temperatures, it breaks apart much faster than it would if it remained near Antarctica. Within a few years or even months, the iceberg can undergo changes that might take decades along the Antarctic Peninsula. Although iceberg disintegration in warmer conditions occurs faster, the basic melt and disintegration process is the same.

Disclaimer:
NASA image created by Jesse Allen, using data provided courtesy of the MODIS Rapid Response team. Caption by Michon Scott.

Is this a sign of acclerated global warming? Is it happening at a rate faster than what is expected? One whole chunck of ice jus break apart and begins is melting into the sea, desalinating the salty water. Rising ocean level, is it imminent with more ice melting? How safe are we on land?

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